May 162012
 

Tomorrow is a holiday in France so we’re headed to the beach for a long holiday weekend.  So today was my last trading day this week.

I had two main trading ideas today:

  1. Retest Globex low at 1321.
  2. Test the top of yesterday’s balance

I didn’t know which would occur first but I thought the Globex low was more likely.  That’s always the tricky part.  When we gained acceptance in yesterday’s range, I got long.  I had a side support zone so I entered 1/2 size and planned to enter the other half, which I didn’t get to do.  So I got a quick win on that one.

Then I re-entered on the pullback and got my first target but stopped out on the second.  I was a bit bummed about that, but it gave me the idea that scenario 2 may play out.  I looked for a short at 36 but the market stopped at 35.25 and turned down.  The next short area was around 32.  That’s right after some major news came out and the market was going nuts.  I had a 3 pt stop on this one and decided with the volatility I risked getting stopped out and so I scratched it.  That trade would have worked.  An even better idea would have been to be patient and wait for a short signal which had perfect timing before the big drop.

 

 

This short week ended up being great for me.  I feel like I’ve made some positive changes in my trading.  A week ago Wednesday I had 22 pts in one day.  The next day I had given most of that back.  So this week I was focusing on big picture setups and working on keeping the gains.  My goal was 3.33 pts/day trading 2 contracts net of commissions.  This week I averaged just under 8 pts/day net.  Yikes!  Now I must see if I can continue that next week.

 

 

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May 162012
 

Yesterday I posted Monday’s chart and mistakenly labeled it with the wrong date.  I fixed that.

A few days ago I noted the signals had been less reliable.  It seems the past few days the signals have been working better.  Tuesday each set of signals resulted in at least a rotation, some much more.

My biggest trade was when ES peeked below IB Low and was rejected.  I got long for the high.  This trade erased many small losses and put me positive for the day.

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May 152012
 

Signals worked well today.  Unfortunately I stayed in a long despite strong sell signals and stopped out.  This is my last fade trade for a while.  I’m tired of it.  It requires too large of a stop to make it work for me.  So from now on, pullbacks only.

The histogram on the bottom is the signal level (the higher the more reliable).  Users can select the minimum level.   These signals are available real time for Ninjatrader.  If you’d like a free one week trial, let me know via the contact page.

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